Jonathan Castagna
Fantasy Hub Player Intelligence

Jonathan Castagna

CGY · C · Age 21
GP 7 · G-A-PTS 0-1-1
Limited sample UNDERPERFORMING VERY LOW confidence
Expected P/G 0.31 Limited sample · Rank appears after 20 GP
Current trajectory Limited history
Actual P/G 0.14 Limited sample
Deployment 36 #11 among F on team
Driver 38 #11 among F on team

Data sourcesOfficial scoring, games played, shots on goal, ice time and observed deployment: NHL.com. Advanced shot-process and expected-goal data: MoneyPuck. Fantasy Hockey Intel Expected P/G and signals are its own model outputs.

7 GP current season Process: 35% current Role: 70% current
How to read this player pageQuick guide

Start with Expected P/G and current production. Usage contains observed roles; Analysis contains process, trajectory and model context.

Expected P/G Estimated scoring rate from current performance, role and underlying indicators.
Driver How strongly the player is driving offensive creation relative to comparable forwards or defensemen.
Deployment How favorable the player’s role and usage are. Higher values generally mean stronger opportunity.
Actual Deployment Observed NHL usage from shifts + play-by-play: line or pair, power-play unit, time and usage share.
Model signals Fantasy Hub interpretations of meaningful changes in production, process, role or sustainability.
NHL Edge Context Skating, territory and shot-location context. Edge is supporting context and does not directly change Expected P/G or Current Value.
Confidence How much current evidence supports the model reading. Treat lower-confidence signals more cautiously.
Team context
Calgary Flames Limited fantasy environment
Fantasy environment #28 of 32 NHL teams
Team xP/G #28 0.62 top-8 xP/G
Offensive environment Below Average EV OZ #17 · shot diff #22
Power-play environment Below Average PP OZ #20
Pace & activity Average #20 NHL · 20.9 bursts/g · 66.3 km/g · 53.5 attempts/g

Limited fantasy environment · below average offensive process · below average power-play environment.

View CGY team context →
Production × opportunity

Player Motion

Expected or Actual P/G against Deployment. The trail follows saved daily snapshots up to the latest date.

16 snapshots
Compare up to four skaters with saved model history.
Bubble size represents Offensive Driver percentile.
2026-10-25

Daily snapshots: Expected P/G is a model estimate; Actual P/G is observed season scoring at that date. Each trail connects saved dates; values between snapshots and reasons for changes are unknown. Driver and Deployment are percentiles within F/D. Bubble size shows Driver, independently of the horizontal axis.

FANTASY HOCKEY INTELShare this Player Motion chart

Show exact values for every date
Usage & Deployment
Overall usageSeason rate
TOI/G13:36
PP TOI/G0:23
SOG/G0.71
5v5 roleObserved role
L15v5 usage band

Brennan Othmann · Adam Klapka · Jonathan Castagna

Line time · last game
7:42
TOI · With this line · last game
60%
TOI · With this line · last 3
62%
TOI · With this line · season
31%
Trend
+31 percentage points ↑+31 pts ↑
Power playObserved PP role

No stable power-play unit established from available opportunities.

PP share · last game
0%
PP share · last 3
1%
PP share · season
0%
First-unit starts · last 3
0 / 10
Trend
StableStable
SituationalLast 5
Vs empty net
34% · 0:53
Own goalie pulled
No team opportunity

Derived from official NHL shift charts + play-by-play · Observed · High confidence · 13 recent PP opportunities

Production

2026–27 season

GP
7
G
0
A
1
PTS
1
P/G
0.14
SOG/G
0.71
TOI/G
13:36
PP TOI/G
0:23
Performance

Process vs Deployment

0–100 · F/D percentile · sample-adjusted
Limited sample

The process-versus-Deployment profile is still sample-sensitive.

Process 38
Deployment 36
Offensive Driver Average · limited sample
38
Shot Creation Below average · limited sample
31
Play Creation Average · limited sample
54
Deployment Average · limited sample
36
Median High-end Elite
Trajectory

Limited history

Limited history
Baseline —
2026–27 0.14 vs baseline —
Expected P/G 0.31 vs baseline —

Not enough prior NHL regular-season history is available for a baseline.

Intelligence

Model signals

MODEL

Production is running below expectation.

Actual P/G trails Expected P/G by 0.17.

MODEL

Sample size limits confidence in the current profile.

The model currently reports VERY LOW confidence.

Current value

The current fantasy profile is mixed. Expected P/G currently sits at 0.31.

Model details

Performance model
performance_v2_1_4

Scale
transition_ref_v2

Driver vs Deployment
2.0

Published
2026-10-25 17:49:50