Nico Sturm
Fantasy Hub Player Intelligence

Nico Sturm

MIN · C · Age 31
GP 6 · G-A-PTS 0-1-1
Limited sample IN LINE VERY LOW confidence Concussion · Injured Reserve
Expected P/G 0.30 Limited sample · Rank appears after 20 GP
Current trajectory Early season 6 GP · 3Y baseline 0.22
Actual P/G 0.17 Limited sample
Deployment 11 #16 among F on team
Driver 23 #16 among F on team

Data sourcesOfficial scoring, games played, shots on goal, ice time and observed deployment: NHL.com. Advanced shot-process and expected-goal data: MoneyPuck. Fantasy Hockey Intel Expected P/G and signals are its own model outputs.

6 GP current season Process: 30% current Role: 60% current
Availability: Concussion · Injured Reserve Return date: 2026-10-27 Structured source: BBS
How to read this player pageQuick guide

Start with Expected P/G and current production. Usage contains observed roles; Analysis contains process, trajectory and model context.

Expected P/G Estimated scoring rate from current performance, role and underlying indicators.
Driver How strongly the player is driving offensive creation relative to comparable forwards or defensemen.
Deployment How favorable the player’s role and usage are. Higher values generally mean stronger opportunity.
Actual Deployment Observed NHL usage from shifts + play-by-play: line or pair, power-play unit, time and usage share.
Model signals Fantasy Hub interpretations of meaningful changes in production, process, role or sustainability.
NHL Edge Context Skating, territory and shot-location context. Edge is supporting context and does not directly change Expected P/G or Current Value.
Confidence How much current evidence supports the model reading. Treat lower-confidence signals more cautiously.
Team context
Minnesota Wild Highest fantasy environment
Fantasy environment #1 of 32 NHL teams
Team xP/G #1 1.02 top-8 xP/G
Offensive environment Strong EV OZ #10 · shot diff #5
Power-play environment Strong PP OZ #7
Pace & activity Average #19 NHL · 14.9 bursts/g · 67.0 km/g · 54.6 attempts/g

Highest fantasy environment · strong offensive process · strong power-play environment.

View MIN team context →
Production × opportunity

Player Motion

Expected or Actual P/G against Deployment. The trail follows saved daily snapshots up to the latest date.

16 snapshots
Compare up to four skaters with saved model history.
Bubble size represents Offensive Driver percentile.
2026-10-25

Daily snapshots: Expected P/G is a model estimate; Actual P/G is observed season scoring at that date. Each trail connects saved dates; values between snapshots and reasons for changes are unknown. Driver and Deployment are percentiles within F/D. Bubble size shows Driver, independently of the horizontal axis.

FANTASY HOCKEY INTELShare this Player Motion chart

Show exact values for every date
Usage & Deployment
Overall usageSeason rate
TOI/G10:26
PP TOI/G0:00
SOG/G0.50
5v5 roleObserved role
L45v5 usage band

Tyler Pitlick · Ryan Hartman · Nico Sturm

Line time · last game
4:56
TOI · With this line · last game
63%
TOI · With this line · last 3
22%
TOI · With this line · season
12%
Trend
+10 percentage points ↑+10 pts ↑
Power playObserved PP role

No stable power-play unit established from available opportunities.

PP share · last game
0%
PP share · last 3
2%
PP share · season
1%
First-unit starts · last 3
0 / 6
Trend
+1 percentage points ↑+1 pts ↑
SituationalLast 5
Vs empty net
26% · 0:51
Own goalie pulled
No team opportunity

Derived from official NHL shift charts + play-by-play · Observed · High confidence · 10 recent PP opportunities

Official NHL video

Recent highlights

Goals & assists · last 5 games
Production

2026–27 season

GP
6
G
0
A
1
PTS
1
P/G
0.17
SOG/G
0.50
TOI/G
10:26
PP TOI/G
0:00
Historical context · Observed NHL stats Season-over-Season

Actual 2025/26 production compared with 2026/27 so far. Expected P/G is the current FHI model estimate, not last season's result.

2025/26 Actual P/G0.2249 GP
2026/27 Actual P/G0.176 GP
Current Expected P/G0.30FHI projection
2025/26 shots/GP: 0.76 TOI/GP: 10.9 min PP TOI/GP: 0.0 min 2025/26 ixG: 7.4 ixG/60: 0.83

Data sources2025/26 actual GP, G/A/PTS, shots on goal and total/power-play ice time: NHL.com season and power-play reports. Individual expected goals (xG), when available: MoneyPuck all-situations data. These observed results are separate from FHI’s saved historical Expected P/G baseline.

Performance

Process vs Deployment

0–100 · F/D percentile · sample-adjusted
Limited sample

The process-versus-Deployment profile is still sample-sensitive.

Process 23
Deployment 11
Offensive Driver Below average · limited sample
23
Shot Creation Low · limited sample
17
Play Creation Average · limited sample
45
Deployment Low · limited sample
11
Median High-end Elite
Trajectory

Early season

Early season
3Y baseline 0.22 Historical P/G
2026–27 0.17 vs baseline −0.05
Expected P/G 0.30 vs baseline +0.08

Current-season production is still below the 20-game threshold; the historical baseline is shown without a strong trajectory call.

Intelligence

Model signals

MODEL

Limited Deployment is constraining current fantasy opportunity.

The role is materially weaker than the top usage profiles at the position.

MODEL

Sample size limits confidence in the current profile.

The model currently reports VERY LOW confidence.

Current value

The current fantasy profile is mixed. Expected P/G currently sits at 0.30. Availability is currently constrained by injured reserve (Concussion), with the structured feed currently listing 2026-10-27 as the return date. This is treated as context rather than a change to the underlying performance score.

Model details

Performance model
performance_v2_1_4

Scale
transition_ref_v2

Driver vs Deployment
11.6

Published
2026-10-25 17:49:50