John Tavares
Fantasy Hub Player Intelligence

John Tavares

TOR · C · Age 36
GP 7 · G-A-PTS 2-5-7
Limited sample IN LINE VERY LOW confidence Lower Body · Injured Reserve
Expected P/G 0.86 Limited sample · Rank appears after 20 GP
Current trajectory Early season 7 GP · 3Y baseline 0.89
Actual P/G 1.00 Limited sample
Deployment 80 #5 among F on team
Driver 55 #8 among F on team

Data sourcesOfficial scoring, games played, shots on goal, ice time and observed deployment: NHL.com. Advanced shot-process and expected-goal data: MoneyPuck. Fantasy Hockey Intel Expected P/G and signals are its own model outputs.

7 GP current season Process: 35% current Role: 70% current
Availability: Lower Body · Injured Reserve Return date: 2026-11-27 Structured source: BBS
How to read this player pageQuick guide

Start with Expected P/G and current production. Usage contains observed roles; Analysis contains process, trajectory and model context.

Expected P/G Estimated scoring rate from current performance, role and underlying indicators.
Driver How strongly the player is driving offensive creation relative to comparable forwards or defensemen.
Deployment How favorable the player’s role and usage are. Higher values generally mean stronger opportunity.
Actual Deployment Observed NHL usage from shifts + play-by-play: line or pair, power-play unit, time and usage share.
Model signals Fantasy Hub interpretations of meaningful changes in production, process, role or sustainability.
NHL Edge Context Skating, territory and shot-location context. Edge is supporting context and does not directly change Expected P/G or Current Value.
Confidence How much current evidence supports the model reading. Treat lower-confidence signals more cautiously.
Team context
Toronto Maple Leafs Strong environment
Fantasy environment #11 of 32 NHL teams
Team xP/G #11 0.80 top-8 xP/G
Offensive environment Average EV OZ #25 · shot diff #18
Power-play environment Above Average PP OZ #11
Pace & activity Average #14 NHL · 24.0 bursts/g · 66.8 km/g · 52.3 attempts/g

Strong environment · average offensive process · above average power-play environment.

View TOR team context →
Production × opportunity

Player Motion

Expected or Actual P/G against Deployment. The trail follows saved daily snapshots up to the latest date.

16 snapshots
Compare up to four skaters with saved model history.
Bubble size represents Offensive Driver percentile.
2026-10-25

Daily snapshots: Expected P/G is a model estimate; Actual P/G is observed season scoring at that date. Each trail connects saved dates; values between snapshots and reasons for changes are unknown. Driver and Deployment are percentiles within F/D. Bubble size shows Driver, independently of the horizontal axis.

FANTASY HOCKEY INTELShare this Player Motion chart

Show exact values for every date
Usage & Deployment
Overall usageSeason rate
TOI/G17:01
PP TOI/G3:15
SOG/G2.43
5v5 roleObserved role
L45v5 usage band

John Tavares · Nick Paul · Kirill Marchenko

Line time · last game
9:15
TOI · With this line · last game
93%
TOI · With this line · last 3
29%
TOI · With this line · season
12%
Trend
+17 percentage points ↑+17 pts ↑
Power playObserved PP role
PP1Power-play unit

John Tavares · William Nylander · Auston Matthews · Kirill Marchenko · Darren Raddysh

PP share · last game
52%
PP share · last 3
62%
PP share · season
60%
First-unit starts · last 3
6 / 10
Trend
+2 percentage points ↑+2 pts ↑
SituationalLast 5
Vs empty net
75% · 0:03
Own goalie pulled
95% · 0:36

Derived from official NHL shift charts + play-by-play · Established · High confidence · 18 recent PP opportunities

Official NHL video

Recent highlights

Goals & assists · last 5 games
Production

2026–27 season

GP
7
G
2
A
5
PTS
7
P/G
1.00
SOG/G
2.43
TOI/G
17:01
PP TOI/G
3:15
Historical context · Observed NHL stats Season-over-Season

Actual 2025/26 production compared with 2026/27 so far. Expected P/G is the current FHI model estimate, not last season's result.

2025/26 Actual P/G0.8782 GP
2026/27 Actual P/G1.007 GP
Current Expected P/G0.86FHI projection
2025/26 shots/GP: 2.34 TOI/GP: 18.2 min PP TOI/GP: 2.7 min 2025/26 ixG: 34.1 ixG/60: 1.37

Data sources2025/26 actual GP, G/A/PTS, shots on goal and total/power-play ice time: NHL.com season and power-play reports. Individual expected goals (xG), when available: MoneyPuck all-situations data. These observed results are separate from FHI’s saved historical Expected P/G baseline.

Performance

Process vs Deployment

0–100 · F/D percentile · sample-adjusted
Limited sample

The process-versus-Deployment profile is still sample-sensitive.

Process 55
Deployment 80
Offensive Driver Average · limited sample
55
Shot Creation Above average · limited sample
66
Play Creation Average · limited sample
39
Deployment Above average · limited sample
80
Median High-end Elite
Trajectory

Early season

Early season
3Y baseline 0.89 Historical P/G
2026–27 1.00 vs baseline +0.11
Expected P/G 0.86 vs baseline −0.03

Current-season production is still below the 20-game threshold; the historical baseline is shown without a strong trajectory call.

Intelligence

Model signals

MODEL

Strong Deployment provides a solid fantasy opportunity base.

Current usage ranks clearly above the position-group median.

MODEL

Sample size limits confidence in the current profile.

The model currently reports VERY LOW confidence.

Current value

The current fantasy profile is mixed. Expected P/G currently sits at 0.86. Availability is currently constrained by injured reserve (Lower Body), with the structured feed currently listing 2026-11-27 as the return date. This is treated as context rather than a change to the underlying performance score.

Model details

Performance model
performance_v2_1_4

Scale
transition_ref_v2

Driver vs Deployment
-24.7

Published
2026-10-25 16:29:28