Ryan McDonagh
Fantasy Hub Player Intelligence

Ryan McDonagh

TBL · D · Age 37
GP 11 · G-A-PTS 0-2-2
Limited sample IN LINE LOW confidence
Expected P/G 0.24 Limited sample · Rank appears after 20 GP
Current trajectory Early season 11 GP · 3Y baseline 0.41
Actual P/G 0.18 Limited sample
Deployment 38 #8 among D on team
Driver 40 #7 among D on team

Data sourcesOfficial scoring, games played, shots on goal, ice time and observed deployment: NHL.com. Advanced shot-process and expected-goal data: MoneyPuck. Fantasy Hockey Intel Expected P/G and signals are its own model outputs.

11 GP current season Process: 55% current Role: 100% current
How to read this player pageQuick guide

Start with Expected P/G and current production. Usage contains observed roles; Analysis contains process, trajectory and model context.

Expected P/G Estimated scoring rate from current performance, role and underlying indicators.
Driver How strongly the player is driving offensive creation relative to comparable forwards or defensemen.
Deployment How favorable the player’s role and usage are. Higher values generally mean stronger opportunity.
Actual Deployment Observed NHL usage from shifts + play-by-play: line or pair, power-play unit, time and usage share.
Model signals Fantasy Hub interpretations of meaningful changes in production, process, role or sustainability.
NHL Edge Context Skating, territory and shot-location context. Edge is supporting context and does not directly change Expected P/G or Current Value.
Confidence How much current evidence supports the model reading. Treat lower-confidence signals more cautiously.
Team context
Tampa Bay Lightning Elite fantasy environment
Fantasy environment #3 of 32 NHL teams
Team xP/G #3 0.90 top-8 xP/G
Offensive environment Strong · shot diff #4
Power-play environment — Team PP context
Pace & activity Average #13 NHL · 23.6 bursts/g · 64.8 km/g · 59.7 attempts/g

Elite fantasy environment · strong offensive process.

View TBL team context →
Production × opportunity

Player Motion

Expected or Actual P/G against Deployment. The trail follows saved daily snapshots up to the latest date.

16 snapshots
Compare up to four skaters with saved model history.
Bubble size represents Offensive Driver percentile.
2026-10-25

Daily snapshots: Expected P/G is a model estimate; Actual P/G is observed season scoring at that date. Each trail connects saved dates; values between snapshots and reasons for changes are unknown. Driver and Deployment are percentiles within F/D. Bubble size shows Driver, independently of the horizontal axis.

FANTASY HOCKEY INTELShare this Player Motion chart

Show exact values for every date
Usage & Deployment
Overall usageSeason rate
TOI/G16:05
PP TOI/G0:04
SOG/G0.64
5v5 roleObserved role
D2Defense pair

Ryan McDonagh · Erik Cernak

Pair time · last game
12:41
TOI · With this pair · last game
86%
TOI · With this pair · last 3
80%
TOI · With this pair · season
79%
Trend
+1 percentage points ↑+1 pts ↑
Power playObserved PP role
PP3Power-play unit

Zemgus Girgensons · Pontus Holmberg · Ilya Mikheyev · Ryan McDonagh · Erik Cernak

PP share · last game
7%
PP share · last 3
8%
PP share · season
6%
First-unit starts · last 3
0 / 12
Trend
+3 percentage points ↑+3 pts ↑
SituationalLast 5
Vs empty net
60% · 1:57
Own goalie pulled
No team opportunity

Derived from official NHL shift charts + play-by-play · Persistent · Medium confidence · 17 recent PP opportunities

Official NHL video

Recent highlights

Goals & assists · last 5 games
Production

2026–27 season

GP
11
G
0
A
2
PTS
2
P/G
0.18
SOG/G
0.64
TOI/G
16:05
PP TOI/G
0:04
Historical context · Observed NHL stats Season-over-Season

Actual 2025/26 production compared with 2026/27 so far. Expected P/G is the current FHI model estimate, not last season's result.

2025/26 Actual P/G0.4448 GP
2026/27 Actual P/G0.1811 GP
Current Expected P/G0.24FHI projection
2025/26 shots/GP: 0.81 TOI/GP: 19.3 min PP TOI/GP: 0.1 min 2025/26 ixG: 3.0 ixG/60: 0.19

Data sources2025/26 actual GP, G/A/PTS, shots on goal and total/power-play ice time: NHL.com season and power-play reports. Individual expected goals (xG), when available: MoneyPuck all-situations data. These observed results are separate from FHI’s saved historical Expected P/G baseline.

Performance

Process vs Deployment

0–100 · F/D percentile · sample-adjusted
Limited sample

The process-versus-Deployment profile is still sample-sensitive.

Process 40
Deployment 38
Offensive Driver Average · limited sample
40
Shot Creation Average · limited sample
48
Play Creation Average · limited sample
43
Deployment Average · limited sample
38
Median High-end Elite
Trajectory

Early season

Early season
3Y baseline 0.41 Historical P/G
2026–27 0.18 vs baseline −0.23
Expected P/G 0.24 vs baseline −0.17

Current-season production is still below the 20-game threshold; the historical baseline is shown without a strong trajectory call.

Intelligence

Model signals

MODEL

Sample size limits confidence in the current profile.

The model currently reports LOW confidence.

Current value

The current fantasy profile is mixed. Expected P/G currently sits at 0.24.

Model details

Performance model
performance_v2_1_4

Scale
transition_ref_v2

Driver vs Deployment
2.5

Published
2026-10-25 16:29:28